Marathon time predictors... are they crap or am I

4 watchers

RichHL Mar 2016 7:49pm, 13 Mar 2016 11,218 posts	0 RichHL Have a look at The Flying Runner. They have a pacing calculator which you can use to create a pace band based on your predicted finishing time. It takes into account your likely drop-off in pace based on research done by ARU on pacing at last year's VMLM. flyingrunner.co.uk
Carpathius Mar 2016 9:06pm, 13 Mar 2016 9,056 posts	0 Carpathius Thanks Rich; I may well try that on my next PB attempt.
RichHL Mar 2016 9:11pm, 13 Mar 2016 11,220 posts	0 RichHL Or you could have a look at Christof's Tanda Doohickle. Enter your weekly training distance and your average pace for the week. Christof and Kevin have found it to be very accurate. christofschwiening.blogspot.co.uk
Windsor Wool Mar 2016 9:24pm, 13 Mar 2016 2,411 posts	0 Windsor Wool I'm afraid the others are right….you need some more base mileage to be able to convert up through to the longer distance. It's just a different beast.
M.ister W Mar 2016 9:49pm, 13 Mar 2016 36 posts	0 M.ister W My mileage recording is sporadic so looking at my training log isn't going to give much useful information. The article that someone linked to is very interesting and it's reassuring that not only am I not the only one but I'm in the majority.
falcarius Mar 2016 10:48pm, 13 Mar 2016 133 posts	0 falcarius Like the other have said I consider the predictor just a comparison of potential if one trains each distance to the same standard. I do not have the dedication or commitment to able to train to the same standard say as I do for a 10k as I would for a marathon (nor am I afraid to admit it). I do not think I could ever train the 50 to 70 miles a week to run ones maximum in a marathon. Which is why I am happy to retire on 1 marathon, it took 5 years to motivate myself to run one, I was only really training for a sub-4 hour marathon (even though I know I could do it much faster if I really wanted it enough), and is why I ran a half marathon the week before. I run because I enjoy it and to keep fit not because I want to get PB's I never want running to feel like a chore. Fair play to those who have the dedication /motivation to run marathons train properly, they are much better runner than me.